SESRIC


Training Course on 'Statistical Data Analysis' in Saudi Arabia
 
Date : 16-19 September 2013 Venue : Riyadh Saudi Arabia

The Centre organised a training course on 'Statistical Data Analysis' at the Central Department of Statistics and Information in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on 16-19 September 2013. The course was provided by Dr. Ali Said, an expert from the BPS-Statistics, Indonesia.

The training course on ‘Statistical Data Analysis’ covered the following topics:

Introduction to Statistical Analysis of Time Series

  • The importance of projection and forecasting
  • Method of forecasting
    • Qualitative
    • Quantitative

Descriptive Analysis of Time Series

  • What is a time series
  • Components of time series
  • Steps of time series analysis
  • Measures of forecast accuracy
  • Data Preparations
    • Estimation of Missing Values
    • Transformations

Time Series Models

  • Classical Forecasting
    • Forecasting with Growth Rate
    • Using Trend Models
    • Smoothing Techniques
      • Moving Average
      • Single Exponential Smoothing (SES)
      • Holt’s Linear Exponential Smoothing (Double ES)
      • Holt-Winter Exponential Smoothing
  • Modern Approach to Forecasting
    • Autoregressive Model
  • Decomposition Methods
    • Additive decomposition
    • Multiplicative decomposition
    • Seasonal variation
    • Determining seasonal index
  • Population Projection

Computer Software for Forecasting